Low Temperature And Low Illumination Pose A Negative Impact On Cotton Production And Crisis In The Yellow River Basin

Most parts of Hebei and Shandong have been raining for more than 10 days. Low temperature and low light have a negative effect on cotton. Many cotton farmers feedback that this year's output is not as good as the previous estimate.

Rain and rain, resulting in poor cotton sitting peach, introduced by a cotton farmer in Cangzhou, Hebei. The local weather has been bad for more than 10 consecutive days, and 7 acres of cotton fields are wet and small.

The cloudy days of these days caused little cotton blooming and poor pollination.

At present, the height of the cotton grower is 100-120 centimeters, the total height is 10 centimeters higher than expected, the fruit branch obviously grows, the fruit is not good, and the average fruit diameter is 3-6 / plant, which is 1-2 or less than that of the same period last year.

Pest control is difficult to carry out.

A cotton grower in Liaocheng, Shandong, said that the cotton bollworm obviously increased over the past few days. He could find cotton bollworms in almost 9 acres of cotton fields. The worm was about 1 centimeters long. If the control was not timely, it would be likely to spread over a wide range, which would have a greater impact on output.

He said that in recent years, chemical control is more difficult. First, there is continuous rain. When spraying pesticides, it is easy to be washed away or diluted. Two, nowadays, cotton plants are big and leafy. They must be controlled by high pressure water guns. Otherwise, the cotton bollworm can not hide in the cotton bolls, and the pesticide is still not enough.

Therefore, many cotton growers recently arranged their families or hired workers, Shimoda Sa, to increase their manpower and financial resources.

Recently, Hebei, Cangzhou, Hengshui, Xingtai and Shandong.

Most cotton growers in Dezhou and other places have suggested that this year's yield is likely to drop to 450-500 Jin / mu level, and cotton farmers are pessimistic that this year's yield is only more than 300 Jin / mu.

Because according to the weather forecast, there are still large scale rainfall in the Yellow River basin this week, which reminds cotton farmers to make preparations.

The China cotton reserve management company recently issued the notice on Issuing the Sixth Batch plan for the national cotton reserve in the 2016/2017 year, announces the Sixth Batch of public inspection plan, which is 414 thousand tons of Xinjiang cotton. It aims to ensure the completion of the national macroeconomic regulation and control task, regulate the market, curb the speculation space of the structural gap of domestic cotton supply, and ensure that the cotton price of the new year is in line with the current year.

This can confirm the market from the side.

The rumor that the delay has been postponed is now more favourable to all parties. Textile mills can reduce the pressure of funds, do not rush to make a bid to prepare stock, and arrange purchase plans with the purchase and purchase. If the cotton mill can change the price of seed cotton in the new and old year alternation, it can reduce inventory, reduce expenses and consumption, and withdraw funds.

It is bold to speculate that the state may take advantage of the low price of international cotton prices to import some high-grade imported cotton and improve the quality structure of reserves so as to adjust the market in the next few years.

China's imports in June 2017

72 thousand tons, a decrease of 15% compared with the same period of last year.

In 1-6 months of 2017, China imported 636 thousand tons of cotton, an increase of 48% compared to the same period last year. From the source of imports, China imported 636 thousand tons of cotton in the United States in 2017, accounting for 58.5% of imports, an increase of 236 thousand and 700 tons over the same period last year.

Since June, the price of foreign cotton has dropped, the difference between inside and outside cotton has widened, the price difference has been returned to more than 1000 yuan, the value-added tax rate has been adjusted to 11% in July 1st, and the price of imported cotton has been further lowered. The average cotton price difference between July and inside is 1578 yuan / ton, up nearly 400 yuan / ton compared with June.

With the increase of cotton price and the increase in demand for high-grade imported cotton, the number of imported cotton will continue to increase in July, but due to quota restrictions, part of the imported cotton may be imported into cotton yarn.

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